Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew had a 25-1 second from his two surviving picks on Tuesday and has three stats-based selections on Wednesday, September 4th…
SOUTHWELL 2.23
SECRET OF LOVE (system – Andrew Balding, second time out 2yo, beaten by 10L or less on turf on debut)
Andrew Balding does well with second time out juveniles who were beaten on turf on their debuts but still ran within ten lengths of the winner. He’s scored with 92 of the 369 qualifiers (24.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £84.25 to a £1 level stake at SP. The strike-rate improves to 33.2% on the all-weather (21 from 65, +£41.07), with 19 of the 44 beaten horses running second or third. SECRET LOVE is the second favourite in this match race with Godolphin’s newcomer CARDINAL POINT, but she showed plenty of ability when a 9-1 sixth (beaten by 5.75L) at Newmarket on her debut and she can put that experience to good use.
LINGFIELD 2.40
CATHEDRAL (system – Amo Racing-owned newcomers)
Leading owners Amo Racing do very well with newcomers, regardless of age and who trains them, scoring with 47 of the 224 qualifiers (21%) for a profit of £33.73 to a £1 level stake at SP. Ralph Beckett’s CATHEDRAL, an 800,000euro Breeze-up purchase, should know her job and looks nicely drawn in stall 4.
HAMILTON 6.15
WHITE UMBRELLA (system – Night Of Thunder, good to soft or softer going)
Progeny of the sire Night Of Thunder have a 97 from 512 record (19%) on good to soft or softer ground (based on race times, not the official going) and backing the qualifiers blind would have returned a profit of £81.83 to a £1 level stake at SP. WHITE UMBRELLA has conditions in her favour in this 6f fillies’ handicap and can cause an upset.
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T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
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Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
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