Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew starts the new week with two stats-based selections at Brighton and Wolverhampton on Monday, September 9th…
BRIGHTON 2.55
WATKINS (system – George Boughey, first-time hood)
George Boughey does well when fitting one of his runners with a first-time hood, scoring with 11 of the 39 qualifiers (28.2% strike-rate) for a profit of £10.67 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 6.32, A/E = 1.74). WATKINS trailed home last of 13 at Yarmouth on his debut last month but the fact that he was sent off as the 5-2 favourite suggests he was showing up well at home and he’s worth another chance in the headgear.
WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30
MARIS ANGEL (system – Harry Angel, all-weather)
Progeny of the sire Harry Angel have a 63 from 331 record on the all-weather in Britain and Ireland (19% strike-rate) for a profit of £38.30 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 52.30, A/E = 1.20). Those who ran without headgear were 50 from 242 (20.7%) for a profit of £75.42. MARIS ANGEL finished a creditable 100-1 fourth of 12 in a 6f maiden at Southwell on her recent debut for Mark Walford and looks the type to take a step forward on her handicap debut.
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T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
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