Jump racing returns to Prestbury Park this Friday for the Showcase Meeting and you can use our key Cheltenham trends and stats for the main ITV Racing events to help find the winners.
Cheltenham Trends and Stats For Showcase Meeting Day One (Friday 25th Oct 2024)
The ITV Racing cameras will head to Prestbury Park on Friday, on what is the first meeting there since April, to show four races LIVE.
To help find the best profiles of horses based on last winners, you can use our key Cheltenham trends and stats – simply apply these to the final runners to see which entries have more things in their favour than others.
The card starts at 1:15, but we get going with the live ITV Racing action at 1:50 for a Novices’ Chase, which has been a good contest for favourites in recent years.
Top Irish trainer Gavin Cromwell also won the prize 12 months ago, so his market leader Path d Oroux is sure to be popular with the best horse racing betting sites in the UK.
1:50 – William Hill Top Price Guarantee Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV
- 10/10 – Between 0-2 Chase wins
- 10/10 – Favourites 1st or 2nd
- 10/10 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
- 9/10 – Aged between 5-7
- 8/10 – Favourites
- 8/10 – Irish (3) or French bred (5)
- 7/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
- 7/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
- 5/10 – Won last time out
- 3/10 – Ran at Newton Abbot last time out
- 2/10 – Irish trained winners
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Next up on ITV Racing is a Handicap Chase at 2:25 and we get to see last year’s winner Dancing On My Own back for more.
This Henry De Bromhead-trained 10 year-old also heads into the race in winning form after winning over fences at Ballinrobe at the end of August.
Despite having 12st to carry this time is also back on just a 2lb higher rating than 12 months ago.
2:25 – squareintheair.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV
- 8/9 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
- 8/9 – Not run for 5+ months
- 8/9 – Raced at Listowel, Chepstow, Aintree or Cheltenham last time out
- 8/9 – Aged between 6-8
- 7/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
- 7/9 – Didn’t win last time
- 7/9 – Carried 10-10 or more
- 6/9 – Placed favourites (top 3)
- 6/9 – Top 3 finish last time
- 4/9 – Aged 8 years-old
- 3/9 – Favourites
- 2/9 – Irish-trained winners (last 2)
- Dancing On My Own won the race in 2023
- The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2
We’ve a Novices’ Hurdle next on ITV Racing at 3:00 – a race the mighty Altior won back in 2015 before hitting the big time.
It remains to be seen if we’ll be seeing a horse go onto do what Altior did, but we’ve still some nice sorts on show – including the prolific winner Gale Mahler, who is bidding for a famous seven-timer for jockey Henry Brooke and trainer Adrian Paul Keatley.
3:00 – Sky Bet Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Sharp Novices’ Hurdle) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV
- 10/10 – Top 4 finish last time
- 9/10 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
- 9/10 – Won between 0-2 times (hurdles)
- 8/10 – Aged 4 or 5
- 7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/10 – Irish bred winners
- 6/10 – Won last race
- 6/10 – Favourites unplaced
- 2/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
- 2/10 – Winning favourites
- Altior won this race in 2015
- The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
The final ITV Racing contest at the Cheltenham Showcase Meeting on day one is one for the amateur riders at 3:35pm – and we could see ALL of the last three winners returning.
Strictlyadancer won the prize in 2021, Jimmy The Digger in 2022 and 12 months ago the Ben Pauling-trained Mole Court led home the field.
If having a wager with the best betting sites in the UK, it could pay to know we’ve not had a winning favourite in the last 10 running. While
3:35 – Glenfarclas Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 3m1f ITV
- 9/10 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
- 9/10 – Won over at least 2m5f (fences)
- 9/10 – Won between 1-3 times (fences)
- 8/10 – Favourites unplaced
- 8/10 – Didn’t win last race
- 8/10 – Top 5 finish last time
- 8/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
- 7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7/10 – Aged 7 or older
- 6/10 – Ridden by a claiming jockey
- 3/10 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
- 2/10 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien
- 0/10 – Favourites
- Mole Court won the race in 2023
- Jimmy The Digger won the race in 2022
- Strictlyadancer won the race in 2021
Here at SportsCasting, you can also get daily horse racing insights and expert advice from Andrew Mount – who provides his best bets and SpreadEx analysis each day.