Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew bids to end the week on a high with two stats-based selections at Cheltenham on Sunday, November 17th…
CHELTENHAM 1.45
PEAKY BOY (system – Nicky Henderson, chase debut, handicaps)
Since the beginning of 2016, Nicky Henderson has a 20 from 94 record with chase debutants in handicap company and backing them all would have returned a profit of £35.41 to a £1 level stake at SP. The score in the month of November is eight from 27 for a profit of £12.00 and PEAKY BOY, whose career score reads 12111 (4-5), including two from two for Henderson, is likely to take the beating in this novices’ limited handicap.
CHELTENHAM 3.30
TEDDY BLUE (system – Harry Derham, stable switchers)
Harry Derham has a fantastic record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with 23 of the 56 runners prior to yesterday’s racing (41.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £59.45 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 13.83, A/E = 1.66). The handicappers were 15 from 26 (+£46.60) and TEDDY BLUE, ex-Gary & Josh Moore, looks set to run a big race in on his favoured good ground.
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