India and the UK have been negotiating a trade agreement for two and a half years now. Both sides were looking to seal the deal in July after a new government would take office in New Delhi following the general elections. However, an early election in the UK further delayed the whole process.

 

In its manifesto, the Labour Party had pledged to seek “a new strategic partnership with India, including a free-trade agreement (FTA)” and to deepen cooperation in security, education, technology, and climate change.

 

Starmer has named David Lammy as his new foreign secretary. Lammy just a week ago had said he intended to visit India within the first month of office if his party was elected to power. Referring to the missed Diwali 2022 deadline set by former prime minister Boris Johnson for the India-UK FTA, he pointed out that “many Diwalis have come and gone without a trade deal and too many businesses have been left waiting”.

“My message to (Finance) Minister (Nirmala) Sitharaman and (Trade) Minister (Piyush) Goyal is that Labour is ready to go. Let’s finally get our free trade deal done and move on,” he said. 

 

Last week, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal had said India hoped to make progress with respect to the FTA with the UK.

 

“With the UK, irrespective of the election result, we hope to make progress after the new government comes in… We already had discussions with the shadow trade and foreign minister of the Labour Party a few months ago when they visited Delhi. They have committed to us that they are equally interested to pursue the FTA expeditiously,” Goyal had said.

 

Experts anticipate continuity in Britain’s foreign policy.

 

Biswajit Dhar, distinguished professor at the Council for Social Development, expects the Keir Starmer-led government to foster a stable relationship between India and the UK in the coming years.

 

“Britain needs to engage with India even more now since it has political stability. Britain is really going to push for its economic revival. When a country is so dependent on the global economy, it actually needs large markets like India to facilitate its recovery process,” Dhar said.

 

According to Dhar, FTA talks will be expedited and the deal will be done this time, despite a few pending issues. “There are issues like immigration, where the Labour Party has a tough stance. At the end of the day, there will be a certain amount of give and take because India is also in a difficult space as far as environmental issues are concerned, and the UK’s position is in sync with the EU and it is hawkish about emission cuts.”

 

Delhi-based think tank Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) said the Labour Party might give its approval to the India-UK FTA with minor adjustments and the deal could be signed as early as October.

 

“The Labour Party in the UK is expected to recognise the substantial benefits of the FTA, as it opens access to a large and growing Indian market, bypassing high tariff barriers,” the GTRI said in a report on Friday. “The FTA is nearly finalised, and with a few minor adjustments like curtailing the number of visas for Indian professionals, the Labour Party may likely give its approval,” the report said.

While both sides have made substantial progress under Sunak, issues like a bilateral investment treaty, a bilateral social security agreement, and India’s demand for a resolution on the carbon border tax by the UK are yet to be fully resolved.

FTA deliberations on the outstanding issues were held in May in virtual mode. During the same month, the UK Trade Commissioner for South Asia also met the chief negotiator of the India-UK FTA to discuss trade relations, including FTA negotiations, in New Delhi.

First Published: Jul 05 2024 | 11:23 PM IST