Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads Bangor, Down Royal and Kempton (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Friday, September 6th…
BANGOR 2.45
INTO THE SUNSET (system – Donald McCain, handicap hurdlers at Bangor, recent run)
Donald McCain has a fine record in handicap hurdles at Bangor, one of his local tracks, especially with horses who had the benefit of a recent outing (28 days or sooner). Since the beginning of 2011, he’s scored with 49 of the 156 qualifiers (31.4% strike-rate) for a huge profit of £141.10 to a £1 level stake at SP. He has three such runners today, including INTO THE SUNSET, who returns to the Welsh venue for the first time since his 21-length victory in May 2022.
DOWN ROYAL 5.00
BUCK BARROW (system – Without Parole, 6f+, not debut)
Progeny of the sire Without Parole are profitable to back blind, landing ten of their 62 starts for a profit of £58.04 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those running over 6f or further who had the benefit of at least one previous outing were nine from 38 for a profit of £69.04. BUCK BARROW looks to have been campaigned with handicaps in mind since finishing in mid-division at 50-1 in a Curragh maiden on his debut and could be worth chancing at a double-figure price in this 7f nursery.
KEMPTON 8.30
GRIGIO (system – David Probert riding for Simon Pearce on the all-weather)
Since racing resumed after lockdown in June 2020, David Probert has scored on eight of his 46 rides on the all-weather for trainer Simon Pearce and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £35.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Eight of the 11 qualifiers at Kempton finished in the first four and GRIGIO, a best priced 25-1 at the time of writing, could be worth a small each-way play now returned to the course and distance of his sole success.
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