Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew starts the new week with two stats-based selections at Brighton and Chepstow on Monday, September 2nd…
BRIGHTON 2.20
ADELAIDE BAY (system – New Bay 2yos, 7f+ on turf)
Juvenile progeny of top sire New Bay exceed market expectations when running over 7f on turf, landing 47 of their 220 starts (21.4% strike-rate) for a profit of £25.86 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 31.41, A/E = 1.50). ADELAIDE BAY looked badly in need of his debut outing when beating only one home over 6f at Windsor in May and was perhaps unsuited by the Polytrack surface when eighth at Chelmsford the following month. It’s possible that we won’t see the best of him until handicapping but the step up to 7f should bring improvement and he could go well at a big price.
CHEPSTOW 2.35
FREAK ENCOUNTER (system – Jamie Osborne handicap debut)
Since the beginning of 2017, Jamie Osborne is 25 from 192 (13%) with his handicap debutants and backing them blind would have returned a huge profit of £130.10 to a £1 level stake at SP. FREAK ENCOUNTER has beat only horse in his three races to date but started at odds of 33-1, 50-1 and 150-1 and has been gelded ahead of his nursery debut.
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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets |
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org. |
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Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers aged 18 or over opt in and stake £10+ on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1/2 (1.50).
- Once the qualifying bet settles 3x £10 free bets will be awarded to your account.
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- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
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- Further terms and conditions apply.