Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Musselburgh and Kempton’s evening all-weather fixture for his two stats-based picks on Wednesday, August 28th…
MUSSELBURGH 5.05
PARISIAC (system – Iain Jardine, last-time out winners, recent run, turf)
Iain Jardine has a fine record on turf with runners who scored on their latest outing, with those returned to the track within 20 days landing 68 of their 229 starts (29.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £58.97 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 47.70, A/E = 1.43). PARISIAC, who made all at Ayr last time, has a tricky wide draw to overcome but possesses the early speed to get across towards the stands’ rail and is worth chancing at odds of around 7-1.
KEMPTON 8.30
MAXIMUM IMPACT (system – George Scott, geldings in AW handicaps)
George Scott has a fine recent record with geldings in handicaps on the all-weather, scoring with 32 of the 122 qualifiers since the beginning of 2022 (26.2% strike-rate) for a profit of £24.71 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 21.35, A/E = 1.50). MAXIMUM IMPACT, not best drawn when a 9-1 fourth at Newmarket on his latest assignment, looks a potential improver on his all-weather debut and can reward each-way support.
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