Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Hexham and the evening all-weather meeting at Kempton for his two stats-based picks on Wednesday, December 11th…
HEXHAM 2.20
REAGROVE LORD (system – Malinas, soft or heavy going)
Progeny of the sire Malinas have a solid record over 2m4f or further on actual soft or heavy going (based on race times, not the official verdict), with 84 of the 478 qualifiers scoring (17.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £63.52 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 68.57, A/E = 1.23). There are four qualifiers at Hexham today including REAGROVE LORD, who could also improve for the first-time visor, another positive angle for the sire.
KEMPTON 4.10
MARIN COUNTY (system – Ed Walker, second time out 2yos)
Ed Walker is ten from 26 with his second time out juveniles this year and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £46.93 to a £1 level stake at SP. Six of the 16 beaten horses finished second or third (at odds of up to 33-1) and MARIN COUNTY looks worth a speculative each-way interest despite having finished only tenth of 14 over course and distance on last month’s debut.
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