Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew found Clonmel winner LAZER WOLF on Tuesday and has two more stats-based picks on Wednesday, December 4th…
LUDLOW 12.28
DESPEREAUX (system – Jane Williams, December handicappers)
Jane Williams has a solid record with her handicappers in the month of December, scoring with 14 of the 88 qualifiers since 2018 for a profit of £18.26 to a £1 level stake at SP. She also does well when using first-time cheekpieces and DESPEREAUX gets the headgear in this conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle. The five-year-old hasn’t shown much in three starts this autumn but all came on left-handed tracks and he might improve for the return to a right-handed venue – his record this way round reads 1310734 (2-7), improving to 1134 (2-4) in Class 4 or lower company (he runs at Class 5 level today).
HAYDOCK 1.10
HEROS DE ROMAY (system – Kim Bailey, early-season break-returners)
Since 2021, Kim Bailey has a fine record from October to December with horses returning from a break of 150 days or longer, scoring with 35 of the 135 qualifiers (25.9% strike-rate) for a profit of £53.50 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 22.41, A/E = 1.56). HEROS DE ROMAY, two from two on his seasonal debuts, can defy the absence on his chase debut.
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