Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Worcester and the evening all-weather action at Kempton for his two stats-based selections on Wednesday, October 16th…
WORCESTER 2.08
LAW OF SUPPLY (system – Kim Bailey, early-season break-returners)
Kim Bailey has an excellent recent record with break returners (after a layoff of at least 150 days) in the early months (October to December) of the peak jumps season, scoring with 30 of the 116 qualifiers (25.9% strike-rate) since 2021 for a profit of £53.92 to a £1 level stake at SP. LAW OF SUPPLY has had a wind operation since his third place in a maiden hurdle at Exeter in the spring and this point-to-point winner is likely to take a step forward now switched to regulation fences.
KEMPTON 4.45
D DAY HARLEY R (system – Kevin Philippart De Foy, first-time headgear, AW handicaps)
Kevin Philippart De Foy has a useful record when using first-time headgear in all-weather handicaps, scoring with ten of the 42 qualifiers for a profit of £16.13 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 5.73, A/E = 1.74). D DAY HARLEY R finished a creditable third in a 7f Leicester nursery last month and is taken to go two places better now that the cheekpieces are fitted for his all-weather debut.
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T&Cs apply. New cust only. Deposit & Place a Bet within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
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